UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
College Park Campus
Fall
Semester 2001
ENCE 302 – Probability
and Statistics for Civil Engineers (3 credit)
MWF
11:00 am – 11:50 am, EGR 1108
INSTRUCTOR:
Office Hours: MWF
12:30 am - 2:00 pm and by appointment
Room:
0305, Engineering Classroom Building (EGR)
Center for
Technology and Systems Management (CTSM)
Telephone:
(W) 301-405-3279
Email:
assakkaf@eng.umd.edu
URL:
http://ctsm.umd.edu/assakkaf
GRADER:
Office Hours: MW 1:00 pm – 2:00 pm
Telephone:
(202) 265-4782
Email:
nrihani@wam.umd.edu
TEXTBOOK:
Ayyub and McCuen, Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers,
CRC Press, FL, 1997.
REFERENCE: Ang and Tang, Probability Concepts in
Engineering Planning and Design, Volume I, John Wiley & Sons, 1975.
GRADING: HW (15%), Midterm (25%), Project
(20%), Final Exam (35%), and Quizzes (5%).
PREREQUISITES:
·
MATH 246
·
ENCE 203
·
Permission of Department
GENERAL COURSE DESCRIPTION (UM SCHEDULE OF CLASSES,
FALL 2001): Grade Method: REG/AUD. Prerequisites: ENCE 203, MATH 246,
and permission of department. Introductory probability and statistics
course, probability theory, distributions, random variables, statistical
analysis, confidence intervals, and hypothesis testing. Restricted to
students in the College of Engineering
COURSE OUTLINE & SCHEDULE:
|
Week |
Date
|
Topic
|
Source |
|
1. |
August 29 |
Word processing, and Spreadsheet
software |
Handouts |
|
2. |
September 3
September 5 & 7 |
Labor Day – NO Class
INTRODUCTION: Uncertainty in engineering |
Chapter 1 |
|
3. |
September 10 |
DATA DESCRIPTION AND TREATMENT: Graphical
descriptors, descriptive measures |
Chapter 2 |
|
4. |
September 17 |
FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY: Uncertainty and events |
Chapter 3 |
|
5. |
September 24 |
Set theory and mathematics of probability |
Chapter 3 |
|
6. |
October 1 |
Random variables and moments, Examples |
Chapter 3 |
|
7. |
October 8 |
Probability distributions, Review and Midterm
Exam |
Chapter 3 |
|
8. |
October 15 |
MULTIPLE RANDOM VARIABLES: Functions of random variables |
Chapter 4 |
|
9. |
October 22 |
FUNDAMENTAL OF STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Estimation of
parameters |
Chapter 5 |
|
10. |
October 29 |
Point and interval estimation, Confidence intervals |
Chapter 5 |
|
11. |
November 5 |
Hypothesis testing |
Chapter 5 |
|
12. |
November 12 |
Determination of distributions |
Chapter 5 |
|
13. |
November 19 & 21
November 23 |
REGRESSION ANALYSIS: Correlation analysis, Linear
regression
Thanksgiving Holiday – NO Class
11/22/01 (Thursday) through 11/25/01 (Sunday) |
Chapter 6 |
|
14. |
November 26 |
Least squares principle, Linear regression and multiple regression. |
Chapter 6 |
|
15. |
December 3 |
Non-Linear Regression,
SIMULATION |
Chapter 6
Chapter 7 |
|
16. |
December 10
December 11
December 12 |
Review, Project Due
Last day of classes (Tuesday)
Study Day (Wednesday) |
Chapter 7 |
|
December 13 |
FINAL EXAM (Thursday, 10:30 am – 12:30 pm, EGR 1108)
|
|
